The 2025 Atlantic hurricane season is predicted to be more active than usual, according to experts from Colorado State University. Their early seasonal forecast, released on April 3, predicts 17 named storms, nine hurricanes, and four major hurricanes. That’s more than the historical average or long-term norm. Typically, there are fourteen named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes each season.

Higher Chances of a Major Hurricane Hitting the U.S.
The CSU team predicts a higher risk of landfalling hurricanes, especially major hurricanes. There’s a 51% chance that at least one major hurricane will hit somewhere along the U.S. coastline or continental shore. This is higher than the typical 43%. The odds for specific regions also rose. A 26% chance for the East Coast or Florida Peninsula, a 33% chance for the Gulf Coast, and a 56% chance for the Caribbean. These percentages point to an increased threat of direct impact from intense storms.
2025 Hurricane Season is Expected to be Active
There are a few reasons why experts believe the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be a busier tropical cyclone season this year. A principal factor is the likely presence of La Niña or neutral ENSO conditions, which generally fuel more hurricanes in the Atlantic. These conditions reduce wind shear, making it easier for storms to grow. In contrast, El Niño, which brings stronger upper level winds, usually slows storm development. Another key driver is sea surface temperatures. Warm ocean water acts like fuel for hurricanes, helping them strengthen quickly. The researchers looked at past seasons with similar conditions and found that years like 1996, 2008, and 2017 were all very active.
Preparing for Severe Weather with EcoCentricNow LLC (ECN) Merchandise
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References
The Business Narrative: 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast Calls for ‘Above Average’ Season
2025 hurricane forecast not good
Forecasters predict another active 2025 Atlantic hurricane season